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Hurricane path prediction seems straightforward, until it is not – that’s because hurricanes can encounter atmospheric effects that turn their paths into erratic nonsense.
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To learn more about this topic, start your googling with these keywords:
- Fujiwhara effect: a phenomenon that occurs when two nearby cyclonic vortices move around each other and close the distance between the circulations of their corresponding low-pressure areas.
- Tropical Cyclone: a localized, very intense low-pressure wind system, forming over tropical oceans and with winds of hurricane force.
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Cameron Duke | Script Writer, Narrator and Director
Arcadi Garcia i Ruis | Illustration, Video Editing and Animation
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Lizah van der Aart • Sarah Berman • Cameron Duke
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REFERENCES
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Ashcroft, John, et al. “The Impact of Weak Environmental Steering Flow on Tropical Cyclone Track Predictability.” Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, vol. 147, no. 741, 1 Oct. 2021, pp. 4122–4142, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4171
“Current Wind Direction and Layer Mean Wind Steering «2023 Hurricane Season - Track the Tropics - Spaghetti Models”, https://www.trackthetropics.com/current-wind-direction-and-layer-mean-wind-steering/
Fujiwhara, S. “The Natural Tendency towards Symmetry of Motion and Its Application as a Principle in Meteorology.” Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, vol. 47, no. 200, Oct. 1921, pp. 287–292, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.49704720010
“Hurricanes: Science and Society: Hurricane Movement”, https://hurricanescience.org/science/science/hurricanemovement/
Pasch, Richard, et al. “HURRICANE MARIA.” 4 Jan. 2023.
Shellito, Lucinda. “Hurricane Chat.” Received by Cameron Duke.
Tropical Cyclone Motion.“Tropical Cyclone Steering | METEO 3: Introductory Meteorology.” https://www.e-education.psu.edu/meteo3/node/2275
“Typhoon Parma.” Earthobservatory.nasa.gov, 4 Oct. 2009, https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/40582/typhoon-parma
“Typhoon Parma Trajectory.” Wikipedia, 30 Oct. 2023, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Parma_2009_track.png
US Department of Commerce, NOAA. “Fujiwhara Effect.” https://www.weather.gov/news/fujiwhara-effect