Polling Expert: How The 2024 Election Will Play Out - Nate Silver
Nate Silver is a statistician, a writer and Founder of FiveThirtyEight.
No one truly knows who will win an election, but if anyone does, it's Nate. He is the man behind the most accurate, sophisticated polling data assessments in America and has an insight into modern culture like no one else.
Expect to learn why this election cycle differs from other ones, just how complex election prediction models are, what the most important topics of this election are, whether there is ever a chance for a 3rd party option to become president, the role of the media in determining who wins and much more…
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00:00 How Nate Mastered Sports Betting
04:01 Models Used to Predict Elections
08:03 The Way People Vote Today
11:02 Why Kamala Harris Isn’t Appearing on Podcasts
14:54 Do Debates Change People’s Minds?
17:22 The Impact of Running Mates
23:53 Have the Assassination Attempts Impacted the Election?
30:16 The States That Decide the Election
32:50 Likelihood of a Third-Party Candidate Being Elected
37:39 The Power of ‘the Village & the River’
44:48 Nate’s Experiences With Sam Bankman-Fried
49:24 Why Crypto Investors Are More Likely to Be Scammed
56:29 Psychology of High Risk-Takers
1:01:54 The Price You Pay to Be Nate Silver
1:04:30 Nate’s Core Values
1:10:13 Where to Find Nate
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Get access to every episode 10 hours before YouTube by subscribing for free on Spotify - https://spoti.fi/2LSimPn or Apple Podcasts - https://apple.co/2MNqIgw
Get my free Reading List of 100 life-changing books here - https://chriswillx.com/books/
Try my productivity energy drink Neutonic here - https://neutonic.com/modernwisdom
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Get in touch in the comments below or head to...
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/chriswillx
Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/chriswillx
Email: https://chriswillx.com/contact/
No one truly knows who will win an election, but if anyone does, it's Nate. He is the man behind the most accurate, sophisticated polling data assessments in America and has an insight into modern culture like no one else.
Expect to learn why this election cycle differs from other ones, just how complex election prediction models are, what the most important topics of this election are, whether there is ever a chance for a 3rd party option to become president, the role of the media in determining who wins and much more…
-
00:00 How Nate Mastered Sports Betting
04:01 Models Used to Predict Elections
08:03 The Way People Vote Today
11:02 Why Kamala Harris Isn’t Appearing on Podcasts
14:54 Do Debates Change People’s Minds?
17:22 The Impact of Running Mates
23:53 Have the Assassination Attempts Impacted the Election?
30:16 The States That Decide the Election
32:50 Likelihood of a Third-Party Candidate Being Elected
37:39 The Power of ‘the Village & the River’
44:48 Nate’s Experiences With Sam Bankman-Fried
49:24 Why Crypto Investors Are More Likely to Be Scammed
56:29 Psychology of High Risk-Takers
1:01:54 The Price You Pay to Be Nate Silver
1:04:30 Nate’s Core Values
1:10:13 Where to Find Nate
-
Get access to every episode 10 hours before YouTube by subscribing for free on Spotify - https://spoti.fi/2LSimPn or Apple Podcasts - https://apple.co/2MNqIgw
Get my free Reading List of 100 life-changing books here - https://chriswillx.com/books/
Try my productivity energy drink Neutonic here - https://neutonic.com/modernwisdom
-
Get in touch in the comments below or head to...
Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/chriswillx
Twitter: https://www.twitter.com/chriswillx
Email: https://chriswillx.com/contact/
Chris Williamson
Bonjour. I'm Chris, Host of the Modern Wisdom Podcast. Currently learning out loud with guidance from the most interesting people on the planet. You should join the cult.
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